Is it possible to predict lethal and non-lethal family violence? Evidence from a large Australian sample of police reported family violence cases - Te Puna Haumaru Seminar Series

About event organiser

Te Puna Haumaru | New Zealand Institute for Security & Crime Science was established at the University of Waikato in 2017. Their research aims to reduce crime and increase security through multi-disciplinary, evidence-based research.‍

Event information

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Dates and location
29
January
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29
January
2026
2:00 pm
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3:00 pm
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Format
Online
In person
Online & In-person
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Costs
Paid
Free
Paid & Free

About the event

For more information and to register, see the event page.

Abstract: The idea that cases of lethal family violence can be accurately predicted ahead of time is a widely held view among academics, policy makers and the news media. This premise has informed public policy internationally and has led to the development of risk assessment frameworks that purport to detect the risk of lethality based on risk factors such as strangulation, controlling behaviour, and sexual assault. However, few empirical studies have sought to examine whether this premise is supported empirically using appropriate longitudinal designs. This presentation will report on a prospective study of nearly 40,000 family violence reports in Victoria Australia. The study examines the extent to which these risk factors can be used alone or in combination to predict lethal and non-lethal family violence. The presentation will discuss the limitations of extant research in this area and the implications of using prediction of lethality as the basis of criminal justice policy.

Please direct all questions to the organiser: nziscs@waikato.ac.nz.

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